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The long-term focus of the McKim Conferences is the paradigm shift which
is occurring in chemical risk assessments whereby the
test-all-chemicals-for-all-hazards paradigm needs to evolve to a more
efficient hypothesis-driven testing paradigm. This paradigm shift has
already been called for by regulators in many countries, and the 2006 McKim
Conference heard first-hand accounts of the scientific challenges involved
from both the U.S. EPA and the European Commission. In brief, the
Conference heard that the scientific foundation of the current testing
paradigm must be extended to include predicting the behavior of untested
chemicals with enough reliability to determine if testing is needed. The
McKim Conference was convened to begin reshaping the foundation of risk
assessment to include a new generation of models that extrapolate existing
experimental data for tested chemicals to related untested chemicals,
related species, or other hazard endpoints. QSAR, interspecies
extrapolation models and biological systems models, respectively, serve as
the primary elements new paradigm in risk assessment.
The scientific barriers which stand between the special case models in the
literature and the comprehensive models needed to support a new regulatory
paradigm was primary topic of discussion at the 2006 McKim Conference. For
the sake of simplicity, we have outlined four of these major barriers which
will serve as the focus for future McKim Conferences. First, one major
obstacle to maximizing the use of existing test data is that the data are
scattered throughout the literature and private databases in inconsistent,
non-digital formats. Second, the QSAR models to predict the intrinsic
behavior of chemicals cannot adequately model reactive toxicity or hydrogen
bonding at receptors. Third, interspecies correlation models do not
uniformly model the metabolic differences of species or predict
vulnerabilities of species. Fourth, systems biology and virtual animal
models are in their infancy and do not adequately link a chemical
perturbation of a system to the most important biological effect.
Following two days of presentations and discussions, the participants of
the 2006 McKim Conference provided a number of recommendations for next
steps. The overwhelming reaction of the participants was that the topic
being addressed is very broad and that future conferences should focus and
prioritize topics of discussion. This recommendation is, itself, a major
scientific challenge of scale because narrowing the focus creates models
only useful in special cases while addressing the global perspective may
require simplifications which do not apply to specific cases. To assist in
planning, the participants suggested three general guidelines for setting
priorities:
- identify the adverse outcomes which are the "big worries" to regulators,
- identify the adverse outcomes which have the best current understanding
of the mechanisms involved, and
- identify the QSAR and other models which are currently most useful and
build on them.
The second major recommendation of the participants is that the McKim
Conference should assist in setting a timeline for near-term and long-term
research needs so that regulators and scientists recognize "what is needed
when". Even if the science needed is extremely broad, we do not have to
solve all aspects of the problem at once. In the near-term, the scientific
community should be focused on building acceptance among regulators as well
as focusing on chemicals where little or no data exists but regulatory
decisions must be made.
The third recommendation of the participants is that the McKim Conference
should invite people with experience in the respective areas who might not
be familiar with the more global perspective of the problem. The
participants repeated that restricting the conference to the present-day
experts is likely to lead to many of the same opinions that have
perpetuated the test-everything-for-everything paradigm.
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